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The fake "rebound": multimodal network news digest - issue #19

Reacting to the drastic drop in demand, carriers have been adding more and more blank sailings, especially for imports to North America and Europe, but not that much for Asia-Europe. At first glance, it may seem that this strategy has triggered a rates rebound (for example, Asia-US west coast rates increased 11% week on week, to $2,763 per 40ft and Asia-US east coast prices went up 2% week on week, to $5,767 per 40ft.) However, on a global scale, the situation remains complex - WCI hit its lowest $2,773 over the past 24 months.

Guangzhou may face a lockdown due to the spike in COVID cases. Overall, Chinese ports have been affected greatly with Ningbo-Zhoushan taking the largest hit, where volumes fell 29% compared to the start of October.

The US imports are stabilizing mainly thanks to a much smaller month-on-month drop at California ports. Since the shift to the East ports occurred, the delays have also shortened. The average delays at the top five West Coast ports fell 40% from January through October.

India’s exports bounce back to the pre-COVID normality. Containers are available, there is no shortage of inventory in the majority of the ports, and the waiting time is not that long. With India becoming attractive for foreign investments, the government has decided to promote local exporters by allowing international trade settlements in rupees.

Strikes

Routes and services 

  • There is no precise date when, but Maersk intends to launch Bangladesh-India inland services following the series of successful trials of using Bangladesh ports as a transit point to and from East India. 
  • Maersk will introduce a fuel surcharge for rail, combined, and intermodal transport services in Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxemburg, Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Liechtenstein, and Poland because of the energy crisis. The increase is expected to be up to 20% over the standard inland transport tariff.
  • A train journey from Xi’an in China to Duisburg in Germany has set a new record - the distance was completed in 10 days. According to officials, this service is prioritized over other Eurasian services. 
  • SAFEEN Feeders has started its UAE-Red Sea service including Fujairah Terminals and Jeddah. The Red Sea service will connect directly Khalifa Port and Port Suda. 

Other 

  • Another claim accusing Maersk and MSC of exploiting their dominance has been made this time by the Brazilian Association of Port Terminals. The Association claims that the industry giants directed cargo to the seven port terminals they own while those terminals handle almost half of Brazil’s containerized cargo.
  • A new milestone on the Silk Road: the 6 000 train trip went through the border point of the Khorgos dry port in Kazakhastan. 
  • Ports in Florida are slowly reopening after Hurricane Nicole hit the region. Port of Everglades, Port Tampa Bay, Port of Palm Beach, Port Miami, JAXPORT have resumed their work. 

These are only several changes that occurred in more than 250 bn freight rates across 25 million routes with more than 1 million market players. Want to share some news about your company, services, and routes? Just post them on MAXMODAL, a multimodal network that digitally connects routes and rates worldwide to automate sales and operations across container transportation & logistics industry. Join to innovate.

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The fake "rebound": multimodal network news digest - issue #19
Rates rebound as blank voyages strategy starts to pay off for carriers

Spot container freight rates on the largest deepsea trades rebounded this week, despite continuing weak demand, suggesting recent capacity cuts have begun to reverse months of pricing decline.

According to the Freightos FBX index, Asia-US west coast rates increased 11% week on week, to $2,763 per 40ft, which is around 80% lower than the same time last year.

“Ocean rates out of Asia were stable overall again this week – though Asia to US west coast prices ticked up and are now level with prices in early October – suggesting the sharp drop off that began this summer may be levelling out, as capacity is removed to meet falling demand,” said Freightos lead analyst Judah Levine.

Meanwhile, Sea-Intelligence data suggests both recent and forthcoming capacity cuts on the transpacific, through to the end of the year, may have an effect on price levels.

“Basically, what we see here is that the number of blank sailings have been ramped up drastically on the transpacific, but not so much on Asia-Europe,” said Alan Murphy, CEO at Sea-Intelligence.

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Rates rebound as blank voyages strategy starts to pay off for carriers
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Iran and Kazakhstan agreed on starting a test run at the beginning of 2023 for a multimodal sea-rail freight service to give landlocked Kazakhstan a connection to the Persian Gulf. The two countries are forming a technical committee to analyse the feasibility of a rail freight service from the north of Iran to the port of Bandar Abbas in the south

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